Kazakhstan’s President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev on Tuesday called a snap election for June as the Central Asian nation seeks a new leader following the shock resignation of its longtime ruler.
Nursultan Nazarbayev, the only leader an independent Kazakhstan had ever known, announced suddenly he was stepping down last month after nearly three decades in office.
Nazarbayev, who retained significant powers following his resignation, named Tokayev to replace him for the remainder of his term due to finish next year.
On Tuesday, Tokayev said the presidential election would be held on June 9 instead.
In a televised address to the nation, Tokayev said he had consulted with Nazarbayev — known as “Elbasy” or “Leader of the Nation” in Kazakh — and other top officials before making the decision.
“We must continue to work on the implementation of the strategy of Elbasy,” Tokayev said.
“This can be done only by the direct expression of the will of the people… As the acting head of state I guarantee that the elections will be held honestly, openly and fairly.”
Tokayev did not immediately say whether he would run though most analysts have tipped him to succeed Nazarbayev, at least in the short term.
“I don’t think there is much doubt it will be him,” independent political analyst Aidos Sarym told AFP.
Sarym described Tokayev’s decision to call the election as a move to ensure calm and stability in the country of 18 million people following Nazarbayev’s surprise resignation.
“Firstly, this was important for investors, both foreign and local. Business has been bothered by all the uncertainty,” Sarym said.
“Secondly, geopolitical — many partner countries were surprised by Nazarbayev’s sudden resignation. Finally, there is the state machine bureaucracy itself, which is unaccustomed to working under conditions of instability.”
With all this taken into account, the leadership had “little choice” but to move towards a snap election, Sarym said.
Nazarbayev’s daughter, 55-year-old Dariga Nazarbayeva, has been widely tipped as a possible successor to her father but on Tuesday reportedly ruled out running in the June vote.
“No, (Nazarbayeva) is not going to run,” her spokeswoman Saule Mustafayeva told the private Tengrinews outlet.
Still, she was among those Tokayev said he consulted before calling the vote and her elevation to senate speaker on the same day he was inaugurated raised concerns the family is looking to put in place a dynastic succession.
The speaker position, which Tokayev previously held, is second in line to the presidency according to the constitution.
Whatever happens, observers doubt the election will be a real contest.
“Announcing elections and the possibility of holding an honest vote are two different things in Kazakhstan,” Dosym Satpayev, another analyst, wrote on Facebook Tuesday.
“The political field has been cleaned of opposition,” Satpayev said.
